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1
27 forecasters
2
1 comment
27 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

Fed Funds Rate Below 4%?

Resolved:No
27 forecasters
if yes
if no

S&P Goes Up In 2024?

95%
95%
Resolved:Annulled

S&P Goes Up In 2024?

95%
95%
Resolved:Yes
if Yes95%
if No(Yes)
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14 comments32 forecasters

US Fed Funds Rate

0 comments3 forecasters

Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range by July 30, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
%chance
13 comments797 forecasters

S&P 500 closes above 7,500 at end-2026?

70%chance
4 comments58 forecasters

US Fed Sets Negative Target Interest Rate

50%chance
2 comments11 forecasters

Polymarket "Holding Rewards" falls below 4% before 2028?

50%chance
5 comments12 forecasters

Number of ZLB Episodes in the US by 2050

Current estimate
3.97 times
2 comments27 forecasters

S&P 500 Closing Values?

7 comments38 forecasters

Deflation before 2030?

13%chance