5 comments
48 forecasters
Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 11, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 17, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2024
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Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026?
0.6% chance
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Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
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Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?
65% chance
80