48 forecasters

Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 11, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 17, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 14, 2024

Chinese AI Chips

Computing and Math

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