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16
119
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16 comments
119 forecasters
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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Will Nikki Haley finish 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?
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167 forecasters
Ron DeSantis president by 2029
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Iowa Hosts First Caucus by 2029?
24%
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Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
46.3%
Ron DeSantis
4.4%
Marco Rubio
19.4%
Other
24.3%
4 others
7 comments
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99.9%
chance
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Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
25.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.2%
Other
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0 comments
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Democrat Wins 2026 Senate Election in these states?
Georgia
83%
Iowa
38.2%
Maine
70%
Michigan
75%
19 others
2 comments
93 forecasters
Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
15%
16 comments
717 forecasters
# of top US officials out in 2026?
Current estimate
4.54 Officials