Question

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
May 2051
(May 2041 - May 2063)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<14 Jan 20242.7%
Quartiles
lower 25%May 2041
medianMay 2051
upper 75%May 2063
Upper bound
>21002.8%
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2024
Closes:Jun 18, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 23, 2024