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2
8 forecasters
1
2 comments
8 forecasters
Economy & Business
condition

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

70%
70%

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

50%
50%
if Yes70%
if No49.5%
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2 comments51 forecasters

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?

87%chance
1 comment55 forecasters

Chinese EUV machine marketed by 2033?

90%chance
1 comment37 forecasters

Chinese ArFi machine used at scale by 2026?

37%chance
17 comments33 forecasters

China Acquires Domestic EUV?

Current estimate
12 May 2027
7 comments68 forecasters

Chinese foundry with ≥20% of semi market?

53%chance
10 comments49 forecasters

Chinese process node advancement by 2030?

≤5 nm85%
≤3 nm75%
≤2 nm44%
0 comments44 forecasters

Chinese fab with >150 MTr/mm² process by 2027

21%chance
51 comments435 forecasters

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

63%chance