Question

Will a new or extended state of emergency be declared in Ecuador before April 1, 2024?

Resolved:Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction

73%

(60% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 73%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

25.1

Community Peer Score

15.9

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 24, 2024

Closes:

Mar 31, 2024

Resolves:

Mar 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 27, 2024

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?

15%

Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?

17%

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

85%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 24, 2024

Closes:

Mar 31, 2024

Resolves:

Mar 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 27, 2024

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?

15%

Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?

17%

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

85%