Question

What will be the preliminary value of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in February 2024?

Resolved :79.6

7 comments7

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction78.8

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<65

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>95

...

1.2%

74.98

78.83

81.8

0.7%

What was the final result?79.6

Community Baseline Score

47.5

Community Peer Score

13.6

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

University of Michigan

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

12%

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

60%

What will be the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price NSA Index for January 2025?

313

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

University of Michigan

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Forbes•Oct 10, 2024

US consumer sentiment slips in October on frustration over high prices

Associated Press•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

12%

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

60%

What will be the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price NSA Index for January 2025?

313