🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

6
8
20 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CountryMe
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
77%
Vietnam
75%
Thailand
66.9%
The United Arab Emirates
65%
India
65%
Malaysia
60%
Saudi Arabia
50.3%
The Philippines
25%
Indonesia
16%
Mexico
12%
Sri Lanka
8%
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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