3 comments
18 forecasters
When will the first company with a market cap above the given figures be openly run by an AI CEO?
00
$1 trillionJun 2065
$1 billionAug 2050
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Which year will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic first reach a valuation of at least $1 trillion?
113 forecasters
Will the CEO of OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet (Google) publicly commit to specific limitations on their company’s AI system autonomy before January 1, 2027?
15% chance
33
Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?
51% chance
118