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3 comments
18 forecasters

When will the first company with a market cap above the given figures be openly run by an AI CEO?

00
$1 trillionJun 2065
$1 billionAug 2050
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Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:Mar 12, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Business of AI
Future of AI
Economy & Business
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Which year will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic first reach a valuation of at least $1 trillion?

2027
32.6%
2026
20.1%
2028
19.8%
3 others
113 forecasters

Will the CEO of OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet (Google) publicly commit to specific limitations on their company’s AI system autonomy before January 1, 2027?

15% chance
33

Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?

51% chance
118
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