117 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

0.3%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Mar 1, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 4, 2024

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