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14
64
forecasters
7
14 comments
64 forecasters
Future of AI
5 more...
Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?
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2 comments
24 forecasters
US-China AI Treaty?
2025
result:
No
2030
15%
2035
25%
2040
36%
19 comments
108 forecasters
Existential risk from AGI vs AGI timelines
2022-10-10 to 2024-12-31
20%
2025-01-01 to 2029-12-31
40%
2030-01-01 to 2039-12-31
28%
2040-01-01 to 2059-12-31
15%
2060-01-01 to 2099-12-31
9.3%
9 comments
81 forecasters
Total Annual Investment in AI Companies
1 comment
31 forecasters
US-China AI Treaty
2040
45%
2035
36%
2030
12%
2025
result:
No
21 comments
813 forecasters
ΑI safety law enacted in the US in 2026?
22%
chance
1 comment
167 forecasters
AI safety checks mandated before Jan 20, 2029?
35%
chance
45 comments
468 forecasters
GC to be caused by AI, if it occurs?
27%
chance
4 comments
53 forecasters
US govt maintain list of AI safety incidents by 2030?
33%
chance