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Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?
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| Year | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | no | |||
2030 | 45% | |||
2040 | 73% | |||
Resolved Mar 7, 2024
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10.1
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Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 7, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Mar 15, 2039
Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 7, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Mar 15, 2039
