Question
How many directly elected seats will independents win in the National Assembly of Pakistan following the 2024 election?
Resolved:101Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction
76.7
(58.7 - 91.3)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <20 | 11.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 58.75 | — |
| median | 76.73 | — |
| upper 75% | 91.27 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >150 | 2.8% | — |
What was the final result?101
Community Baseline Score
12.1
Community Peer Score
30.5
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2024
Closes:Feb 7, 2024
Resolves:Feb 22, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 3, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2024
Closes:Feb 7, 2024
Resolves:Feb 22, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 3, 2024