16
104 forecasters
Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?
93%chance
Top Key Factors
US invades Greenland before 2029
Decreases Likelihood
Trump says US does not need Nato after being rebuffed over strait of Hormuztheguardian.com•Mar 17, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
US invades Greenland before 2029
Decreases Likelihood
Trump says US does not need Nato after being rebuffed over strait of Hormuztheguardian.com•Mar 17, 2026
Decreases Likelihood