Question
When will SpaceX first successfully catch a Starship booster with the tower?
Resolved:13 Oct 2024 07:35Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
16 Oct 2024 02:11
(09 Oct 2024 23:31 - 24 Oct 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Apr 2024 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 09 Oct 2024 23:31 | — |
| median | 16 Oct 2024 02:11 | — |
| upper 75% | 24 Oct 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2026 | 2.6% | — |
What was the final result?13 Oct 2024 07:35
Community Baseline Score
7.1
Community Peer Score
11.4
Authors:
Opened:Feb 25, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 28, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Feb 25, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 28, 2024
