6 comments
13 forecasters
How many people will work in these AI-automatable jobs in the US in May 2025?
Latest estimate
348k people
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2024
Closed:Jun 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:May 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 19, 2024
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Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?
50% chance
3
What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?
13 forecasters
Will 20 million Americans be laid off from private sector jobs in any quarter before 2030?
7% chance
14