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- April 2, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Level
21 (AIXI.1.1)
Predictions
4396 predictions on 1566 questions (704 resolved)
Comments
720 comments on 307 questions
Rank
26th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Monkeypox
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
2973 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Politics – US (8)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (6)
- Elections – U.S. – President (5)
- Elections – U.S. – congressional (5)
- Effective Altruism (3)
Popular Questions
- Will the price of bitcoin drop below $10K USD in 2021? (1081 forecasts)
- Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? (705 forecasts)
- Will Democrats win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election? (591 forecasts)
- Will a third-party candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election? (470 forecasts)
- Will the results of the Electoral College be formally challenged in the House in 2021? (417 forecasts)