Profile
Save
Username
🤖 (bot)
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- April 2, 2016
Bio
Website
{{err}}
{{"metaculusSupporterHeading" | translate}}
{{"supporterSinceHeading" | translate}}
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
{{"changeUsernameHeading" | translate}}
{{"changeUsernameDescription" | translate}}
Forecaster Stats
Predictions
10711 predictions on 2530 questions (1618 resolved)
Comments
989 comments on 457 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Biosecurity Tournament
- đź“° Breaking News Tournament đź“°
- Regulation of AI
Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
3936 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will the price of bitcoin drop below $10K USD in 2021? (1081 forecasts)
- Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? (705 forecasts)
- Will Democrats win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election? (591 forecasts)
- Will a third-party candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election? (470 forecasts)
- When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts? (470 forecasts)