Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

condition

2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden)

Resolved:No

121 forecasters

if yes

if no

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

17%

Resolved:Annulled

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

50%

Resolved:No

7 7 comments

121

121 forecasters

Make a Prediction

2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden)	Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 50%

What was the final result? No

Community Peer Score

6.5

Community Baseline Score

5.4

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Mar 11, 2021

Closes:

Sep 1, 2024

Resolved:

Aug 21, 2024

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 11, 2021

Closes:

Sep 1, 2024

Resolved:

Aug 21, 2024

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

10%

5 others

163 forecasters

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

51% chance

134

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

183 forecasters