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36
forecasters
4
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36 forecasters
Conditional Cup
3 more...
condition
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Resolved:
No
36 forecasters
if yes
if no
GOP Control of US Senate in 2025
75%
75%
Resolved:
Annulled
GOP Control of US Senate in 2025
68%
68%
Resolved:
Yes
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75%
if No
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22 forecasters
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on Jan 20, 2029?
Democratic Congress
20%
Republican Congress
7%
Split Congress
13%
5 comments
115 forecasters
US Congress Control After 2026 Midterms
Dem Senate / Dem House
39.4%
Rep Senate / Rep House
10.1%
Dem Senate / Rep House
1%
Rep Senate / Dem House
49.5%
0 comments
54 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2026 Senate Election in these states?
Georgia
83%
Iowa
37.5%
Maine
70%
Michigan
74%
19 others
16 comments
161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
0 comments
15 forecasters
# of confirmed Article III judges in 2027-2028?
Democratic Congress
8.67
Republican Congress
11.7
Split Congress
10.5
16 comments
415 forecasters
US Senate plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
47.4%
Republicans
52.5%
Other
0.1%
6 comments
55 forecasters
GOP Senate advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
0.722 seats
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%