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6
30
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6 comments
30 forecasters
Sports & Entertainment
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Will Individual Neutral Athletes Win ≥21 Gold Medals at the Paris 2024 Olympics?
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No
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6 comments
42 forecasters
Tennis at the 2044 Olympics
90%
chance
77 comments
300 forecasters
Date AI Wins IMO Gold Medal?
Current estimate
17 Oct 2026
5 comments
23 forecasters
IMO AI Prize
2026
78%
2027
17%
2028 or later
3%
2024 or before
result:
No
2025
result:
No
1 comment
37 forecasters
Total Nuclear Weapons >20,000 by 2030
2.5%
chance
0 comments
17 forecasters
How many teams will compete in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
29 or Fewer
0.1%
30 to 39
0.5%
40 to 49
57.8%
50 to 59
7.1%
60 or More
34.5%
13 comments
800 forecasters
New country winner of the 2026 World Cup?
14%
chance
18 comments
122 forecasters
No. of nationalities to have visited the moon
Current estimate
2.37 nationalities
4 comments
9 forecasters
Number of Nations Net Zero Emissions on Jan, 1st 2035?
Current estimate
3.41 Nations