3 comments
34 forecasters
Will there be a frontier AI model from the given country before 2035?
India50%
Israel27%
Russia8%
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Opened:Mar 12, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
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On January 1, 2030, what will be the difference (in FLOP) between the largest AI models from non-authoritarian and authoritarian countries?
2.8×10²⁵ FLOP
(4.8×10²⁴ - 3.4×10²⁶)
2.8×10²⁵ FLOP
(4.8×10²⁴ - 3.4×10²⁶)
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