Question
What is the expected (median) date of deuterium-tritium fusion operations for ITER in its new schedule (2024)?
Resolved:Jun 2039Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction
Oct 2039
(Nov 2035 - Aug 2044)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2025 | 0.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Nov 2035 | — |
| median | Oct 2039 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2044 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2050 | 10.0% | — |
What was the final result?Jun 2039
Community Baseline Score
9.7
Community Peer Score
1.2
Authors:
Opened:Apr 9, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 9, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2024