M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Learn more, and share your feedback and questions here

Question

Will the U.S. reinstate its nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missile program before 2030?

Resolved :Yes
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction90%

Make a Prediction

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
0.8
Community Peer Score
0.3
median 90.0%mean 83.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


Comments

? comments