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52 comments
69 forecasters

Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest?

Switzerlandresult: Yes
Croatia46.1%
Other25.6%
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
benj83
Opened:Apr 17, 2024
Closes:May 11, 2024
Resolved:May 11, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 18, 2024
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Sports & Entertainment
🏆 2024 Leaderboard
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Eurovision Host Austria: If Israel Is Out, We’re Out
Breitbart•Oct 10, 2025
Daily Mail logo
Eurovision at war: German chancellor calls on the nation to QUIT the singing contest if Israel is excluded after countries including Spain and Ireland threatened boycott over their war in Gaza
Daily Mail•Oct 6, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026?

65% chance
11

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

10% chance
61

How many parliamentary seats will the Sweden Democrats win in the Swedish 2026 general election?

73.3 seats
(65.3 - 80.2)
73.3 seats
(65.3 - 80.2)
18 forecasters
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