52 comments
69 forecasters
Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest?
Switzerlandresult: Yes
Croatia46.1%
Other25.6%
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 17, 2024
Closes:May 11, 2024
Resolved:May 11, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 18, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026?
65% chance
11
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?
10% chance
61
How many parliamentary seats will the Sweden Democrats win in the Swedish 2026 general election?
73.3 seats
(65.3 - 80.2)
73.3 seats
(65.3 - 80.2)
18 forecasters