Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

Total Forecasters78
Community Prediction
99%
(97% - 99.9%)

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50%
community: 99%
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Opened:Mar 21, 2024
Closes:Jul 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jul 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2024