Question

Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

2
5
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction
3%
(2% - 10%)

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Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:Apr 18, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2024
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks