3 comments
26 forecasters
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?
8.7%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Opened:Apr 18, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2024
Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
3% chance
44
Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?
27 forecasters
Will the Japan Self-Defense Forces have tested a Tomahawk missile by mid-2027?
76% chance
38