🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

conditional
condition

US TikTok ban or forced sale?

Resolved :Yes
11 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

1%
1%

US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

5%
5%
Resolved :Annulled5%
1
0

Make a Prediction

US TikTok ban or forced sale?

US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

50%
community: 1%
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Conditional Cup
Geopolitics
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2024 Leaderboard
Robotics
China
Machine learning
TikTok
ByteDance
Republican Party (US)
Google Play
App Store (iOS)
Artificial intelligence arms race

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