🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What percentage of the popular vote will be won by each candidate in the 2024 Russian Presidential Election?

6
6
11 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Candidateresolution

PDF

CDF

community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25
6.099
7.958
9.919
0.2%

What was the final result?3.85

Community Baseline Score
24.9
Community Peer Score
2.8
Authors:
akarlin
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Vladimir Putin
Leonid Slutsky (politician)
Nikolay Kharitonov
Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation
2024 Russian presidential election

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