9 comments
111 forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran57%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch