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9 comments
111 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran57%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
Authors:
Dumbledores_Army
Opened:Apr 2, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Saudi Arabia
Annulled
6 others
74 forecasters

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

2023
9576
2025
9485
2032
10k
2 others
87 forecasters

How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?

9
49%
10
38%
11
11%
4 others
42 forecasters
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