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Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction86%

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50%
community: 86%
median 86.0%mean 80.8%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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