Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?

Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction
82%
(65% - 88%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 82%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Mar 21, 2024
Closes:Jun 9, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jun 10, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2024