Question
When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
10 Sep 2028
(16 Nov 2026 - Oct 2031)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 16 Nov 2026 | — |
| median | 10 Sep 2028 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2031 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 2.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2024
