Question

Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?

Resolved:Yes

9 comments9

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction

63%

(45% - 71%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 63%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

40.9

Community Peer Score

-4.3

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Apr 23, 2016

Closes:

Jul 1, 2016

Resolves:

Aug 26, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 24, 2016

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

38%

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

7.4%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?