• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
14 forecasters
0 comments
14 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

US Restricts China's Cloud Compute Access?

Resolved:No
14 forecasters
if yes
if no

NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years

3371
Resolved:Annulled

NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years

3413
Resolved:3288 Billion USD
if Yes67.4%
if No68.3%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
47 comments71 forecasters

NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years

1 comment10 forecasters

Market Cap over $10T by 2028

22%chance
7 comments791 forecasters

Will NVDA close below $100 in 2026?

7.2%chance
2 comments56 forecasters

Major CSP buys PRC-designed AI chip by 2028?

OVH14%
Amazon Web Services5%
Microsoft Azure5%
Google Cloud3%
12 comments26 forecasters

When Nvidia's market cap >$10T?

Current estimate
Nov 2032
2 comments53 forecasters

Major CSP to buy PRC-fabbed AI chip by 2028?

OVH10.5%
Amazon Web Services6.6%
Microsoft Azure5.8%
Google Cloud2%
3 comments64 forecasters

Chinese foundry with ≥0.2x of TSMC market cap

22.9%chance
7 comments68 forecasters

Chinese foundry with ≥20% of semi market?

53%chance