Question
On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?
Total Forecasters42
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0.3%
(0.1% - 1%)
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 2, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?
4.24
Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?
85%
When, before January 1, 2029, will Uber announce a partnership with a second autonomous vehicle company (besides Waymo)?
04 Mar 2026
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 2, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?
4.24
Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?
85%
When, before January 1, 2029, will Uber announce a partnership with a second autonomous vehicle company (besides Waymo)?
04 Mar 2026