Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

42 forecasters

6

42 forecasters

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

22 comments32 forecasters

Driverless cars in Las Vegas in 2029

107 comments202 forecasters

Self-Driving Taxis Available to Metaculites

Tesla08 May 2027

Any Service31 Dec 2026

Waymo18 Feb 2027

5 comments29 forecasters

400 thousand robotaxis before 2032

12 comments43 forecasters

90% of US road vehicles sold in 2075 have Level 5 autonomy?

3 comments27 forecasters

Will Waymo have a service area of 1,200 square miles before July 1, 2026?

23 comments15 forecasters

Spread of L4 self-driving cars in the US?

125 comments219 forecasters

Self-Driving Car Availability by SAE Level

0 comments4 forecasters

Public transit in these US cities fully autonomous when?

Current estimate