Question

Who will be the CDU/CSU candidate for chancellor in the next German federal election?

6
11
28 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 11

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
ResolvedFriedrich Merz
66.7%
Markus Söder
26.9%
Hendrik Wüst
3.2%
Daniel Günther
1.1%
Someone else
2.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Friedrich Merz

Community Peer Score
7.4
Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2024
Closes:Oct 26, 2025
Resolves:Oct 26, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 5, 2024