Question
What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between May 15 and June 15, 2024?
Resolved :47Total Forecasters154
Community Prediction
47.3
(46.3 - 49)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 46.33 | — |
| median | 47.31 | — |
| upper 75% | 49.01 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >65 | 2.0% | — |
What was the final result?47
Community Baseline Score
-11.3
Community Peer Score
62.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2024
Closes:May 31, 2024
Resolves:Jun 21, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2024
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2024
Closes:May 31, 2024
Resolves:Jun 21, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2024
