8 forecasters

Will the result from Study 2 of "Loss Aversion, the Endowment Effect, and Gain-Loss Framing Shape Preferences for Noninstrumental Information" (PNAS, 2022) replicate?

62%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 62% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 12, 2024

Closes:

Apr 26, 2024

Resolved:

May 6, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 14, 2024