Question

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States as of May 20, 2024?

Resolved:139
Total Forecasters337
Community Prediction
135
(133 - 137)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1211.0%
Quartiles
lower 25%132.6
median134.6
upper 75%137.4
Upper bound
>2500.1%

What was the final result?139

Community Baseline Score
74.2
Community Peer Score
42.4
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:May 16, 2024
Resolves:May 20, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 16, 2024