Question
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States as of May 20, 2024?
Resolved:139Total Forecasters337
Community Prediction
135
(133 - 137)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<121 | 1.0% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 132.6 | — |
median | 134.6 | — |
upper 75% | 137.4 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>250 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?139
Community Baseline Score
74.2
Community Peer Score
42.4
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:May 16, 2024
Resolves:May 20, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 16, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:May 16, 2024
Resolves:May 20, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 16, 2024