Make a Prediction
Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024? | US Iran War Before 2025? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: — | |
| My Prediction: — |
What was the final result? No
Community Peer Score
0.5
Community Baseline Score
98.5
Authors:
Opened:Apr 13, 2024
Closes:May 1, 2024
Resolved:May 1, 2024
Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?
3% chance
94
Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?
153 forecasters
If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?
15% chance
41
Authors:
Opened:Apr 13, 2024
Closes:May 1, 2024
Resolved:May 1, 2024
Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?
3% chance
94
Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?
153 forecasters
If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?
15% chance
41