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37
28
forecasters
7
37 comments
28 forecasters
Politics
1 more...
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
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Georgia
10.8%
Michigan
13.4%
Pennsylvania
result:
Yes
Wisconsin
16.4%
9 others
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31 forecasters
Democrat wins 2026 gubernatorial election in these states?
Ohio
45%
Nevada
51%
Kansas
34%
Iowa
60%
13 others
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
0 comments
6 forecasters
What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?
Current estimate
-0.644 votes
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance
2 comments
6 forecasters
Date NPVIC comes into effect
Current estimate
Jun 2039
0 comments
92 forecasters
State not submitting electoral votes to Congress on time in these elections?
2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
Annulled
2027-2028
5%
0 comments
58 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2026 Senate Election in these states?
Georgia
83.2%
Iowa
39%
Maine
68%
Michigan
75%
19 others