conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? | New PHEIC in 2024? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: — | |
| My Prediction: — |
What was the final result? Yes
Community Peer Score
38.7
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
5%
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
4.3%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%
Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
5%
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
4.3%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%