Question
When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction
Jul 2034
(Aug 2032 - >Dec 2034)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 May 2024 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Aug 2032 | — |
| median | Jul 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | >Dec 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2034 | 38.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 27, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 27, 2024