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Will AI capabilities plateau with the next generation (GPT-5, etc.) of language models?

20
38
66 forecasters

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Company / ModelMe
Anthropic / Claude 4 Opus
no
Google DeepMind / Gemini 2 Ultra
5%
OpenAI / GPT-5
3%
Resolved May 31, 2025
Community Baseline Score
78.2
Community Peer Score
22.4
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Opened:May 6, 2024
Closes:Aug 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025