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28 forecasters
Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?
2%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2024
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Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?
0.5% chance
105
Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?
43 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?
37.4%
(23.6 - 53.6)
37.4%
(23.6 - 53.6)
26 forecasters