28 forecasters

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

2%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 28, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2024

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Record low worker confidence casts chill over US jobs market

Daily Mail•Sep 14, 2025

Why We Work, and What We'll Do in a Post-Work Future

Psychology Today•Sep 12, 2025

Sam Altman predicts AI will take customer service jobs first — and speed up a 'historical' rate of job turnover

Business Insider•Sep 11, 2025

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