Question

When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction

May 2037

(Nov 2032 - Apr 2042)

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CDF

	<02 May 2024	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>Jan 2050
community	2.9%	Nov 2032	May 2037	Apr 2042	5.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<02 May 2024	2.9%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	Nov 2032	—
median	May 2037	—
upper 75%	Apr 2042	—
Upper bound
>Jan 2050	5.2%	—

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Authors:

Bervie johnnycaffeine

Opened:

May 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

May 4, 2024

Environment & Climate

Geopolitics

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

Jun 2036

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

Dec 2032

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

37.8B